Only 20 per cent of Kenyans believe 2027 General Election will be free and fair - TIFA poll
TIFA found that belief in a credible election is deeply divided along political lines.
Only 20 per cent of Kenyans believe that the 2027 General Election will be free and fair, according to a new survey by TIFA, highlighting growing public distrust in electoral integrity and the direction of the country.
The national poll, conducted between May 11 and May 15 among 1,530 respondents across nine regions, shows a sharp drop in confidence ahead of the next election.
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The survey has a margin of error of +/-2.5 per cent.
TIFA found that belief in a credible election is deeply divided along political lines. Among those supporting the Broad-Based Government (BBG) alliance led by President William Ruto and Raila Odinga, 38 per cent expressed confidence in the electoral process.
However, only 13 per cent of those opposing the alliance shared the same view. Half of all respondents said they had no confidence at all in the fairness of the 2027 election.
The poll also revealed that 54 per cent of Kenyans are against the BBG. Only 22 per cent voiced support, while 25 per cent said they are neutral.
Opposition to the alliance is strongest in Mt Kenya and Lower Eastern, while support is highest in Central Rift and Nyanza.
TIFA pointed to dissatisfaction with the economy as a major factor driving opposition. Three-quarters of those surveyed said their personal financial situation has worsened since the 2022 election.
Public sentiment about the country’s direction has also declined sharply.
Only 14 per cent said Kenya is headed the right way, down from 49 per cent in September 2023.
A large majority, 75 per cent, believe the country is on the wrong track.
Rising cost of living was cited as the top reason for the pessimism by 45 per cent of respondents. Other key concerns include unemployment, corruption, and poor governance.
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