Kenya improves in state fragility ranking in 2024 - report

Kenya has moved a step away from the risk of state collapse, according to the latest Fragile States Index by the international research and educational institution Fund For Peace (FFP).

The index, which is designed to measure countries' vulnerability and assess how it might affect projects in the field, ranks Kenya position 36 out of 179 countries globally.

This is with an indicator score of 86.7 out of the maximum 120.

Compared to the previous year, the rank is a one step improvement from position 35 which earned a score of 87.8.

Ideally, according to the index, a much higher score towards 120 which correlates higher ranking, implies that a given state is in a more fragile state and nears a probable state collapse, while a lower score and a lower ranking depict a fairly stable state.

The index is determined by a pool of conflict risk indicators used to measure the condition of a state at any given moment.

They include security apparatus, economic growth, economic equality, state legitimacy, public services, human rights, demographic measures and external interventions.

Among these, Kenya exhibited improvements in economic growth, public services, human rights and external interventions in the current year so far, compared to last year.

On the other hand, there was a deterioration in the security apparatus and state legitimacy.

Segments of economic equality and demographic measures remained constant.

Compared to its East African Community counterparts, Kenya is the third best stable state after Tanzania and Rwanda. Tanzania ranks position 62 with a score of 76.1 while Rwanda ranks position 46 with a score of 81.8.

Somalia, South Sudan and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) are ranked the most fragile in the region, standing at positions 1, 3 and 5 respectively. Out of the 120 maximum score, they had 111.3, 109.3 and 106.7, respectively.

Globally, Norway, Finland and Iceland were ranked the top three countries with close to zero fragility, scoring 12.7, 14.3 and 15.2, respectively.

A fragile state according to the research body is a country that possesses characteristics that substantially impair its economic and social performance.

These include weak governance, limited administrative capacity, chronic humanitarian crises, persistent social tensions, and often, violence or the legacy of armed conflict and civil war.