TIFA poll: 62 per cent want Gachagua to support strongest opposition candidate

The findings come as opposition parties and leaders position themselves ahead of the 2027 General Election, with several candidates seeking to emerge as the main challenger to President Ruto.

The findings come amid a divided opposition landscape, with several leaders competing for support ahead of the 2027 polls. TIFA said President Ruto remains the leading potential presidential candidate with 24 per cent support, while opposition backing is spread among multiple contenders.

Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna emerged as the leading opposition figure with 15 per cent support, followed by former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i at 14 per cent and Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka at 13 per cent. Former Deputy President Gachagua received 7 per cent support, while 20 per cent of respondents remained undecided.

The poll also highlights continued public dissatisfaction with the Broad-Based Government arrangement between President Ruto and former Prime Minister Raila Odinga, with 52 per cent of Kenyans opposing the alliance compared with 30 per cent supporting it.

The survey further reveals challenges facing voter participation, with 17 per cent of Kenyans saying they are not registered voters. Lack of national identification documents, limited time to register and low interest in politics were among the reasons cited, with younger respondents aged 18 to 24 years particularly affected by documentation challenges.