Sifuna‑led Linda Mwananchi widens lead over Oburu’s Linda Ground - TIFA

Sifuna‑led Linda Mwananchi widens lead over Oburu’s Linda Ground - TIFA

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ODM supporters are increasingly aligning themselves with the Linda Mwananchi position as internal debates continue over the party’s political direction ahead of the 2027 General Election.

A majority of Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) supporters have rallied behind the Linda Mwananchi faction, with 74 per cent backing the group compared to 20 per cent who support the rival Linda Ground faction, according to the latest TIFA Research opinion poll.
The survey, released on Friday, July 24, 2026, shows the Edwin Sifuna‑led faction has maintained a strong lead among ODM supporters, with its support rising slightly from 73 per cent in May to 74 per cent in June 2026.
In contrast, support for the Oburu Oginga‑led Linda Ground faction fell from 24 per cent in May to 20 per cent in June, widening the gap between the two competing positions within the party.
TIFA said the findings indicate ODM supporters are increasingly aligning with the Linda Mwananchi position as internal debates continue over the party’s political direction ahead of the 2027 General Election.
“ODM supporters are consolidating behind the ‘Linda Mwananchi’ position, with support increasing while the alternative ‘Linda Ground’ position continues to lose ground,” TIFA stated.
The poll also showed a rise in ODM supporters with no opinion on the two factions, increasing from 3 per cent in May to 6 per cent in June.
Divisions within ODM have emerged mainly over the party’s cooperation with President William Ruto’s administration under the Broad‑Based Government arrangement.
The Linda Mwananchi faction, supported by Siaya Governor James Orengo and Vihiga Senator Godfrey Osotsi among others, has pushed for the party to maintain its opposition identity and continue championing the interests of ordinary citizens.
The Linda Ground faction has, on the other hand, backed continued engagement with the government, arguing that cooperation offers an opportunity to influence national reforms and development initiatives.
The latest TIFA findings suggest the internal contest over ODM’s future direction remains a major issue as the party prepares for political battles ahead of the 2027 General Election.
The widening support gap between the two factions could shape future discussions on ODM’s leadership, alliances, and electoral strategy.

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